Here are the province's ridings to watch in the 2019 federal election
Published Wednesday, October 9, 2019 3:09PM CST
Last Updated Wednesday, October 9, 2019 6:51PM CST
Incumbent, Ralph Goodale, has held his seat in Regina-Wascana for the past 26 years. Political columnist, Murray Mandryk, calls the Liberal candidate’s record ‘fascinating.’
“It’s an amazing run, considering this is a conservative province, and he’s a liberal,” Mandryk said. “I think, they always think that they’re going to knock off Ralph, but so far, that hasn’t happened.”
In 2015, Goodale captured 55.1 per cent of the vote in his riding, followed by Conservative candidate, Michael Kram with 30.3 per cent of the vote. Kram is once again running against Goodale. Mandryk said this race could be closer than in 2015.
“Because of the carbon tax. Because of the distaste in Regina, in southern Saskatchewan and all of Saskatchewan for the federal government (and) the Trudeau name in particular,” said Mandryk.
Public affairs strategist, Terri Harris-Strunk, said the Conservative party is making a concerted effort to gain the Regina-Wascana seat.
“When the Liberals, for example, were considering changes to small business income tax, there was an actually rally outside Goodale’s office. And, of course, the carbon tax has been a hot button issue in Saskatchewan,” Terri Harris-Strunk said.
The former Regina-Lewvan MP, Erin Weir, was expelled from the NDP caucus in May of 2018, for not following proper social protocol. Weir decided not to run for re-election, leaving the Regina-Lewvan riding without an incumbent.
Last election, Weir won the riding with 35.2 per cent of the vote, followed by Conservative candidate, Trent Fraser, with 34.9 per cent of the vote.
This election, the NDP has put forward Jigar Patel as its candidate. Former Saskatchewan Party MLA, Warren Steinley, is the conservative candidate running.
“The Conservatives seem really solid there,” Mandryk said. “In this particular case, maybe this is one riding, because of the Conservative’s strength relative in this province, where they can pick up.”
Harris-Strunk said the Conservatives are working hard to gain the Regina-Lewvan seat, and Steinley’s popularity could work in his favour.
“The name recognition, and the focus that party has put on that constituency this time around, and the feeling in Saskatchewan that (the Conservatives) will potentially elect more constituents this time around will make that seat very interesting,” Terri Harris-Strunk said.
In 2015, NDP candidate, Georgina Jolibois ousted two-term Conservative MP, Rob Clark. Jolibois had 34.2 per cent of the vote, followed by Liberal Lawrence Joseph with 33.9 per cent of the vote, and Clarke with 30.1 per cent of the vote.
“The Liberals are running a very strong candidate in former La Ronge mayor Tammy Cook-Searson. But, it’s an NDP riding and the Conservatives always have a play there,” Mandryk said.
Jolibois, who was the mayor of La Loche for more than a decade, is running for re-election. Conservative candidate, Gary Vidal, was formerly the mayor of Meadow Lake.
“There’s potential, I think, in that region for a switch, and it might be the Liberals taking that seat,” Terri Harris-Strunk said.